A World Trade Leading Index (WTLI)
Object category:
Elektronische Ressource
Publisher:
International Monetary Fund
Place of publication:
Washington, D.C
Date:
20150126
Extent, illustration, format:
Online-Ressource (14 p)
Language:
Nicht zu entscheiden
Providing institution:
Additional information
Abstract:
This paper develops a new monthly World Trade Leading Indicator (WTLI) that relies on nonparametric and parametric approaches. Compared to the CPB World Trade Monitor's benchmark indicator for global trade the WTLI captures turning points in global trade with an average lead between 2 and 3 months. We also show that this cyclical indicator is able to track the annual growth rate in global trade, suggesting that the recent slowdown is due in part to certain cyclical factors. This new tool can provide policy makers with valuable foresight into the future direction of economic activity by tracking world trade more efficiently
Object text:
Online-Ausg.
Access and usage options
Contact
Universität Erfurt
Forschungsbibliothek Gotha
Schloss Friedenstein
Schlossplatz 1
99867 Gotha
+49 361 737-5540
bibliothek.gotha(at)uni-erfurt.de
Forschungsbibliothek Gotha
Schloss Friedenstein
Schlossplatz 1
99867 Gotha
+49 361 737-5540
bibliothek.gotha(at)uni-erfurt.de
Administrative details
Created:
2023-04-14
Last changed:
2023-01-26
Added to portal:
2023-04-14
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